PDC Premier League – Week Ten Preview
Following last week’s ‘Judgement Night’ which saw Dave Chisnall and Michael Smith eliminated from the rest of the tournament. The focus in the Premier League is now all on the top of the table and the race for place in the top four which means a spot in the play-offs.
As there are still five matches to be played each night in weeks ten to thirteen and only eight players remaining, two players will be in action twice in the same evening, this week it’s the turn of James Wade and Phil Taylor to play twice.
Here is the league table as it stands.
And now onto the previews…
James Wade v Raymond van Barneveld
- Wade sits a point outside the top 4 following his week 9 draw with Gary Anderson.
- Wade had led Anderson 3-0 and 4-1 but in the end was grateful for Anderson missing a dart to win the match before Wade stepped in and hit the double which got him the point.
- He is on a 4 match unbeaten run in this year’s Premier League; it’s his best run without defeat since 2013. If he wins or draws this match it will be his best sequence of Premier League results since 2009.
- van Barneveld is in 7th place in the table 5 points behind the play-offs places.
- Barney looked to be on his way to victory against van Gerwen last week; he was a in a strong position leading 4-1, 5-2 and 6-3,
- MVG did come back at him strongly but Barney still had a dart to win the match 7-4. MVG punished the miss and managed to salvage a draw.
- He has only won 1 of his last 6 matches in the Premier League but is still in a better position than he was at this stage of last season when he made the play-offs winning 6 of his remaining 7 matches.
Head to Head
There isn’t a lot between Wade and van Barneveld in their overall head to head record. Barney has the slight edge 23-20 (they have also drawn 4 matches). They have already met 3 times in 2016 with Wade winning twice, including in the Premier League when Wade won 7-5 having led 5-1 at one stage.
You have to think that this is a must win for van Barneveld if he is to keep alive a realistic chance of making the play-offs. Wade won’t want to go into his match against Taylor later in the evening on the back of a defeat that’s for sure. As mentioned above there hasn’t really been a lot to choose between them both in previous meetings and I would anticipate another tight game.
I can see this match ending in a 6-6 draw. Both have a good record of hitting ton plus checkouts so this is another thing to look out for if betting on the game.
Gary Anderson v Phil Taylor
- Anderson is in 3rd place in the table, level on points with MVG and just a point behind Phil Taylor.
- Anderson’s winning run ended with his draw against Wade last week but he is still on a 7 match unbeaten streak, which equals his previous best run without defeat which came in 2014.
- Anderson had trailed Wade 3-0 and 4-1 having missed a raft of doubles. He came back strongly and even had a dart to win the match before Wade swooped and claimed a point.
- Last week was the 5th match in a row where he has had an average of over 99. Overall in his last 10 matches he has had a total of 8 averages of 99 and over.
- His 180 count of last week was 5 which was his highest 180 total of the 2016 Premier League season so far.
- Taylor sits on top of the table after 9 matches, a point clear of both van Gerwen and Anderson.
- He got back to winning ways against Michael Smith with a 7-5 win last week following 2 successive draws. Smith missing doubles in both of the last two legs before Taylor stepped in.
- That win takes his unbeaten run to 8 matches, having not lost since defeat by van Barneveld in week one.
- His match average dipped just below a 100 last week (99.92); overall he has only had 2 averages lower than that in his last 15 Premier League matches.
Head to Head
Taylor has a big lead over Anderson in their overall H2H record (34-2-13) mainly due to a big advantage he built up prior to 2013; although the meetings have been a lot more even since then Taylor has won 6 of the last 8 encounters, including a 7-4 win in this year’s Premier League.
This is a really intriguing game; both players have been on form and are on good unbeaten runs (Anderson 7 matches, Taylor 8 matches). When they met earlier in the Premier League season Taylor ran out a deserved winner but Anderson has been playing to a higher standard in many of his matches since then.
I am finding it very hard to pick a winner in this match and see no favourite. I think this may be another match that will go the full 12 legs and we may have a 6-6 draw at the end of it
Robert Thornton v Michael van Gerwen
- Thornton successfully avoided elimination despite defeat last week, but he is at the bottom of the revised table with 4 points.
- His 7-5 defeat again Lewis means he has won only 3 of his last 28 Premier League matches.
- He has hit a total of 12x 180’s over his last four matches in the Premier League; this is double the amount he scored in his opening five matches.
- MVG drew for the third match in a row last week; he is currently in 2nd place in the table a point behind Phil Taylor.
- He had to recover from 4-1, 5-2 and 6-3 behind against van Barneveld and was grateful for Barney missing a dart which would have sealed a 7-4 win.
- His run of 3 matches without a win is the first time in a single Premier League season that he has gone 3 matches without winning a game.
- van Gerwen hit 4x 180’s against van Barneveld, he has now hit 4 or more 180’s in 6 of his last 8 matches in the Premier League.
Head to Head
When they met in the Premier League only 2 weeks ago they shared the points in a 6-6 draw. Overall Thornton has won just 1 of their last 10 meetings (that win was notably in the World Grand Prix final). In their 5 Premier League meetings van Gerwen has won 3 and they have drawn 2 times, 4 of those 5 matches have gone to a 12th and deciding leg.
van Gerwen will be desperate to get back to winning ways following his 3 draws, although he hasn’t performed to the exceptionally high standards he did around the time he hit the 123.4 record average his level is still highest than the vast majority of players. Thornton avoided elimination but is realistically only playing for pride as the play-offs are surely out of reach. He can play clear of any pressure and his confidence won’t be low despite his low league position.
I expect a stronger van Gerwen display than he showed against Thornton in their recent Premier League match and I am tipping him to win 7-4.
Adrian Lewis v Peter Wright
- Lewis is currently in 4th place in the table following his 7-4 win over Thornton in week nine.
- The win over Thornton ended a sequence of W-L-W-L-W-L-W and gave Lewis consecutive wins for the first time since he won both of his opening matches this season.
- Lewis registered a match average of under 100 for the 7th time in his 9 matches so far this season. Overall he has only had an average of over 100 in 4 of his last 18 Premier League matches.
- Wright is 2 points outside the play-off places after his 7-5 win over Dave Chisnall last week,
- His win against Chisnall was his first win since week three when he defeated van Barneveld.
- He averaged 97.14 last week that average was ironically lower than he registered in any of the previous 5 matches which he failed to win.
Head to Head
Lewis has a lead over Wright on their head to head win record having 15 wins to 8 (they have also drawn once). Wright ended a 4 match losing run against Lewis with a 6-5 win in a Players Championship event last month. In their meeting earlier in this year’s Premier League it was Lewis who came out on top 7-3 in a high quality match (Lewis averaged 107.93 and Wright averaged 106.79).
Although Lewis comes into the match in the higher position it could be said that Wright has actually been performing to a slightly higher level overall during this Premier League season, hitting higher averages and having a better checkout %. When they met a few weeks ago though, Lewis really turned it on and gave his best performance in this year’s PL to defeat Wright 7-3 and you can’t rule out the same happening here.
This is another match in this week’s schedule which is very well matched and hard to predict with any real confidence. I am just edging towards Lewis to win 7-5.
Phil Taylor v James Wade
Head to Head
Taylor has a 47-10 lead over Wade in head to head wins (they have also drawn 5 matches). In their last 9 meetings Taylor has won 5 and Wade has won 4. In their match earlier in this year’s Premier League it was Taylor who dominated winning 7-1 with an average of over 111, Wade only had 2 attempts at a double in the whole match. Wade hasn’t beaten Taylor in the Premier League since 2009.
They will have both played earlier in the evening so bear that in mind when analysing this match, a good win or heavy defeat could impact their mind-set coming into the match. Wade has come out on top against Taylor in some of their recent TV meetings but he has a big task on his hands to do so in this match and was well beaten by Taylor earlier in the competition. Taylor has looked in good shape in the Premier League (barring his opening match) and enters this week at the top of the table. I just feel Taylor has the ability to cause more problems for Wade on the Wade throw than Wade can on the Taylor throw and this will be the difference. I predict a 7-4 win for Taylor.