PDC World Championship 2016 – Final Preview

We are now down to the final two players at the 2016 PDC World Championships with two time winner Adrian Lewis facing the defending champion Gary Anderson in a repeat of the 2011 final.

Here is my final preview.

Lewis vs Anderson

Lewis

  • Lewis has made it through to his 3rd World Championship final, having won in the final on both of those previous occasions, beating Anderson in 2011 and Hamilton in 2012.
  • The PDC World Championship has only been won on 1 occasion by the number 5 seed, which was Lewis in 2011 when he defeated Anderson in the final. 5 years later he is number 5 seed and against faces Anderson.
  • Since winning the World Championship in 2012 he has won only 3 of his last 8 appearances in TV finals (singles tournaments only).
  • Lewis has thrown first in all 5 of his matches in the tournament winning the 1st leg each time. Apart from the 1st Round he has broken his opponents throw in the 2nd leg of the match.
  • He has dropped 5 sets in the tournament but none of these sets were dropped before he was leading at least 3-0.

Anderson

  • Anderson is also appearing in his 3rd World Championship final, he lost his first final back in 2011 to Adrian Lewis but went a step further last year and won the title defeating Taylor in a deciding set.
  • Since losing to Lewis in the World Championship final in 2011 Anderson has won 4 out of the 7 TV ranking finals he has appeared in, winning each of the last 3 before he lost to MVG in the European Championship final.
  • Anderson has only dropped 2 sets on his way to the final, unlike Lewis though he was actually trailing in a match, this was against Gurney in the 2nd Round when he was 1-0 down.
  • Anderson has only dropped 14 legs in his last 3 matches; Lewis dropped 15 legs in his semi-final over van Barneveld!
  • He has only had his throw broken 7 times in the tournament, 5 of the breaks of throw came in his 2nd Round match against Gurney.

Head to Head

Anderson leads their head to head record 21-17, including winning 13 of their last 17 meetings. The last 2 have both gone Anderson’s way including the most recent at the semi-finals of the European Championships when he averaged a 106 in an 11-5 win. Lewis did of course win their most high profile meeting in the World Championship final 5 years ago; the score on that occasion was 7-5.

Verdict

Both players have played excellently all through the tournament winning most of their games with ease. Anderson had his biggest test in the 2nd Round when he lost the opening set against Gurney and survived set darts in the next 2 sets, since that match he has only dropped 14 legs in the L16, QF and SF combined. The only concern Lewis has had to contend with was van Barneveld coming back from 5-0 to 5-3 in the semi-final but he was still in control didn’t panic.

Anderson has got progressively better in each game and his average has risen with each round since the 2nd Round. The way he performed in the opening set against Klaasen in the semi-final was unbelievable darts averaging 132.62 for that set which included a 9 dart finish.

There is no doubt Lewis is a top performer and can compete at the highest level with any player but Anderson has a calm confident composure this week which suggests he can respond to anything thrown at him and I think Anderson will retain his title.

My selections are – Anderson to win with Lewis to win at least 3 sets and also under 31.5 180s in the match.

 

I hope you have enjoyed my previews throughout the tournament, don’t forget to check me on twitter @3dartanalyst for more stats.

 

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