Analysis of Increasing Competitiveness on the PDC Tour

The final PDC Pro Tour Players Championship event of 2015 played out today in Coventry with Gary Anderson defeating James Wade in the final.
Although there may be no surprise in two of the world’s best players contesting the final, the Pro Tour tournaments have risen in competitiveness over the last few years; this is possibly due to a number of reasons.

Some of these are (in no order):
Young talented players joining the tour, showing hunger and no fear.
More players from around Europe and the Rest of the World committing to playing week in week out on the circuit.
The continued influx of players who have joined from the BDO.
Existing tour members raising their game to compete with the higher standard.

I decided to investigate some facts of a rise in competitiveness throughout the tour and my findings show the margins are getting closer.

For my sample I took the score of every match from the UK Open Qualifiers, Players Championships and Euro Tour Events from 2009 through to 2015 (up to and including this weekend). All of these matches were best of 11 legs so the winner in every match required 6 legs.

I then collated the average legs played in each match over each year of the 6 year period. Doing this enabled me to calculate how this has changed from 2009 to 2015.
The reasoning is that the more legs played in a match the more competitive a match is.

I have produced a chart which shows how the average number of legs played in a best of 11 leg match has increased over the six year span.
The chart shows the average number of legs played in best of 11 leg matches from 2009 to 2015.

Leg Analysis

Breaking it down you can see the average legs played in a match in the PDC UK Open Qualifiers, Players Championship Events and Euro Tour Events was 8.61 in 2009, in 2012 this had risen to 8.88 and for the 2015 season it was 9.01.

These may seem small increases but the sample of matches is high. With over 30 tournaments in each of the years, many tournaments with over 120 matches and some tournaments having over 200 matches.

Maybe this doesn’t tell you something you don’t already know and maybe you think there are other obvious reasons for matches becoming more competitive but the chart does show a definite rise and I think makes for interesting reading and hope you do too!


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