WORLD MATCHPLAY DARTS FINAL – STATS PREVIEW
After eight evenings of darts from the Winter Gardens in Blackpool we now reach the final itself. In Michael van Gerwen and James Wade we have two very worthy finalists, both with a pedigree of winning major TV tournaments and both with plenty of motivation to make sure they walk away as the champion.
van Gerwen starts as the favorite and you feel it will take an outstanding performance to defeat him, Wade won’t be lacking confidence after ending Phil Taylor’s long winning run at the Matchplay and he has the game to make things difficult for van Gerwen, hopefully we will have an entertaining final.
The World Matchplay is the rare current major TV ranking tournament that is missing from van Gerwen’s CV and as a result he is desperate to make sure he goes one better than last year when he lost in the final. The Matchplay will always have a very special place in Wade’s heart from the time he made the final in 2006 on his debut and came back a year later to win the title.
My preview for the final is all based around stats and there are plenty to look at so here we go.
First up the usual comparison graphic.
Next we have the route to the final for both players and the match by match stats.
Looking at the checkout scores of the both players throughout the tournament I have come up with a little graph to break them down.
Now the frequency of the doubles attempted by both players. If may come as no surprise to see that Wade has had most of his attempts at Double 20 and Double 10 with his most successful double being Double 10. MVG has spread his favouring of doubles across Double 20 and Double 16 with Double 8 his most successful double. Could the fact van Gerwen is able to alternate comfortably with leaving Double 20 and Double 16 be a considerable factor in his success, giving him more options when leaving outshots?
Next up the head to head meetings between the two players. They have met 4 times previously in Major TV ranking tournaments.
Here we compare the record of both players and their overall record at the World Matchplay. They only made their debut one year apart but Wade has played more than twice the amount of matches and legs, although if you calculate the last 4 years (including this year) they have identical records of Won 13 and Lost 3.
This will be the 17th Major PDC TV Tournament final for Wade and the 14th for van Gerwen, in PDC TV Major Ranking Tournaments this will be Wades 12th final and van Gerwens 9th.
Here you can see the record of their results in the finals as well as the Win % stats over those finals.
Wade will be looking for his first major ranking win since the UK Open in 2011, van Gerwen has won 6 during this time.
As good as van Gerwen’s run is in the Major TV tournaments at the moment reaching 13 in the space of 3 years. It is worth noting that between 2007 and 2011 Wade reached the final of 13 Major TV tournaments during a four year spell. It’s like a relay race when in 2012 Wade handed the baton on to van Gerwen to try and catch Taylor!
I hope you enjoy my stats preview for the final, feel free to leave a comment if you enjoyed and you can also catch me on twitter @dartingjellyarm